Publish Dates: 19 Jan 2024
Source: The Washington Post --Capital Weather Gang (Matthew Cappucci, Jason Samenow)
Resource Link: How the Polar Vortex could bring winter back with a vengeance
AER Science and Dr Judah Cohen's seasonal forecasting work with focus on Arctic Oscillation and polar vortex disruptions is again featured in this article. As we head into February with a weakening El Niño could it mean there are elevated chances for above-average snowfall in the eastern United States? “If it stays strong and circular, it is mild for February,” but if it stretches out, “we get episodes of more severe winter weather.”
Figure: A positive Arctic Oscillation (left) is associated with a strong, stable polar vortex, whereas a negative Arctic Oscillation (right) is associated with weak, unstable vortex. (NOAA)
To access more information on AER seasonal forecasting and view Dr Cohen's weekly Arctic Oscilation and Polar Vortex research blog visit:https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation/